With the recent primaries, Mitt Romney has reached, and has gone far passed, half way to the magic number, 1144. Does this guarantee his victory with 100% certainty? Possibly.
In order for Romney to win, he needs another 484 delegates. This leaves 674 for the other three candidates.
In order for Santorum to win, he needs another 863 delegates. This leaves 295 for the other three candidates.
In order for Gingrich to win, he needs another 1009 delegates. This leaves 149 for the other three candidates.
In order for Paul to win, he needs another 1093 delegates. This leaves 65 for the other three candidates.
Is Romney guaranteed victory? No. Is he very, very, likely to win? Oh yes. He currently has a 379 delegate lead over Santorum, approaching a massive 400 delegate lead. Even if Santorum and Romney each got 579 delegates more, half the remaining, Santorum would still be 284 delegates short, while Romney would have overshot by 95.
At this point, Ron Paul has, for all intensive purposes, no chance of winning. Unless everyone drops out, there is no chance. These odds are only slightly better for Gingrich.
Romney has three more victories under his belt, with D.C., Maryland and Wisconsin. He received 70.2%, 49.2%, and 44.1% respectively. Two of which (D.C. and Maryland) were Winner-take-all primaries. This only adds to Romney's already enormous lead.
Sources:
http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/delegates
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